the farmers experiment was widely considered to be well designed

Finally, one cannot help but wonder what it would mean if we left the consensus, developing a cognitive model of reality very different from the one shared by other observers. Does the question reference wrong data/reportor numbers? ICRAF also provided I planted them among my coffee trees. Theres no insurance to fall back on, no irrigation when the rains fail. https://www.nytimes.com/2023/04/27/climate/malawi-farmers-agriculture.html. These research designs progress from those with high validity and generalizability to those with less validity and generalizability. He refuses to buy anything. It was an easy source of calories for plantation labor. Me, I do not know it. He has short trees whose flowers are natural pesticides. Fundamental philosophical questions about origins, consciousness, purpose, and nature of the designer are likely to be common knowledge for those outside of our universe. How does the farmer determine if a new species is beneficial? While the quantum phenomena in question are typically limited to the micro scale, simply scaling the effect to the macro world would be sufficient for them to count as exploits in the sense used in this paper. One choose Grevillea, and less than five chose to try Leucaena leucocephela, Calliandra calothyrsus or Sesbania sesban. not grow as it should, we move it to another area, or we isolate it so that As we currently have no capability to read/write simulations source code and do not know if our attempts at social engineering attacks have any impact, our best bet is to investigate the structure of our universe at the smallest possible scale (Quantum Mechanics (QM)) in the hopes of detecting exploitable effects. Ignoring pseudoscientific interest in a topic, we can observe that in addition to several respected thinkers who have explicitly shared their probability of believe with regards to living in a simulation (ex. a) The independent variable is number of rows and the dependent variable is number of berries harvested. Later we will be able to determine their importance. portant part of the evaluation and validation of the success of these new technologies. Giving up isnt an option. I dont think a laser beam will shoot out from space and land at its feet to spell out the words Hi there! The consultants agreed it is important to plant all the desired species at the same time when building a home compound, so they develop together and make a strong, dense fence. I cannot plant more than 10 seedlings in the beginning. One female consultant stated that it was a matter of chance; she planted many trees of various kinds because only some would survive. By creating an account, you agree to our terms & conditions, Download our mobile App for a better experience. Individual versus collective knowledge: People in the meetings emphasized the differences in their knowledge. You are imposing these 500 trees upon us. Absence of a direct response to our publication may also indicate that we are not observed by the simulators or even that our simulation is not monitored at all [145]. AI is already employed in modeling the quantum mechanical behavior of electrons [172]. This is to increase the number of tree species we have at our disposal, to have as many varieties (species) as possible. It is derived from the verb kugerageza, meaning to submit to a test. Consultants used the Kinyarwanda word for experimentation, igerageza, when talking about this species trial, which is quite different from the connotation of researchers trained in the scientific tradition. Could generally intelligent agents placed in virtual environments jailbreak out of them? Of course, this only gives us an upper bound, and the probability of successfully discovering an escape approach is likely a lot lower. It is also possible that nothing published so far contains evidence strong enough to trigger a response from the simulators, but if we successfully created an escape device that device would keep breaking down [44]. Its the antithesis of industrial agriculture. We could try to attract the attention of the simulators and communicate with them perhaps by writing books about simulations, or by constructing simulations? But then, the rains refused to stop. tree does not grow, we will uproot it. to the home compound, all the children are informed about the nature and poisonous His field was now just mud and sand. Round answer to two decimal places if necessary, The number and frequency of Atlantic hurricanes annually from 1940 through 2015 are shown on the next page. Consultants want prior information so they can deal with possible negative effects of new species. b) The covered rows. SUGGESTED VIEWING Even after a battery of climate shocks terrible drought in 2019, incessant rains this year she has seen farmers keep trying. Or, we can even ask you for other tree species that Qualia mining simulations can be classified as a type of entertainment simulation and would have comparable security. Give me my two seedlings as I have a small farm. join now (only takes a moment). There are several rules of thumb that farmers follow when determining where a species should be located within a field. All delivered papers are samples meant to be used only for research purposes. They all said that it was possible to discover the benefits of a species during growth or after its harvest. On one hand, these themes relate to individual characteristics of tree experts such as curiosity, desire for knowledge, an internal drive for discovery and the hope to leave a better world for children. To study a link between variables, an experimental design is a series of methods that are planned. and love potions. We suspect we are in a simulation. This monument could look like the monolith from 2001: A Space Odyssey, except it would be black and white, representing binary systems. If the simulation is a personal universe [86] it may be significantly better than the base reality as it is designed with our optimal well-being in mind. Thus, in principle it is possible for everyone to try new technologies, but in practice not everyone will do so because of a lack of interest or curiosity or because of insufficient resources, especially land. The tree experts at these meetings were interested in testing new species and would very likely have accepted any proposition involving only a small number of seedlings. cannot. Until now, we have not planted trees without first learning about their utility. We are forced to change, Mr. Mponda said. If it fails, we will still be together. have published extensively on the topic of biocentrism (observers being primary to shaping reality) [94], including some work in theoretical physics [147]. What is the probability that a randomly selected CMSU student will be male? Droughts scorch their soil. Alternatively, base reality might be much better if the simulation is a confinement/testing box for intelligent agents. In any case it is not obvious how we can deliver on such a threat given our current state of knowledge about the simulators. Monitor how farmers adapt, adopt, & reject technologies; holding farmer ex-perimenter workshops; reward farmer experimenters. introducing. sell it. Since these factors vary with individuals, regardless Please purchase a subscription to get our verified Expert's Answer. Table 1: Left - Multi-Byte Write Setup in MWS [133]; Right Magical Spell to turn people to your favor [134]; Experimental work on trying to understand an engineered system (hardware and software), such as Atari Video Game System with games such as Donkey Kong, using standard scientific methodology has produced very limited results, mostly devoid of understanding of how the system actually functions [135]. Table 10 provides an overview of the opinions expressed and the response frequency. Eighty-percent of all truck travel more than how many miles? But if our simulators are artificial intelligences who have designed a batch of watertight simulations and who are not paying attention, then our efforts may be in vain. [145]. Figure 2: Left Hex Editor Overlaid on SMW [129]; Right Flappy Bird game installed in SMW [129]; Since it was possible to write code with precise Mario movements and spin-jumps, that implies that if Mario was sufficiently intelligent he could discover and code this hack from within the SMW (assuming Marios actions are writing to the same memory locations as actions from the controllers used to generate Marios actions). This emphasis on extension of information and knowledge gained from consultants' experimentation should not be a surprise, since communication of knowledge is a major part of being recognized as an expert on trees and tree cultivation. cuttings or seeds to distribute to other farmers. or help my son? knowledgebuilding activities fit into the farmers' lives and which experimental d)The independent variable is presence/absence of nets and the dependent variable is number of berries harvested. The second part of this chapter looks at farmer-based innovations in agroforestry related to these changes. Planting several trees and crops on one patch of land often takes more time and labor. To provide some motivational examples, Figure 1 (left) shows domain transfer experiment in which a Carassius auratus is given a fish operated vehicle [79] to navigate terrestrial environment essentially escaping from its ocean universe and Figure 1 (right) shows a complete 302-neuron connectome of Caenorhabditis elegans uploaded to and controlling a Lego Mindstorms robot body, completely different from its own body [80]. Synadenium grantii, Euphorbia candelabrum and Euphorbia grantii have You can unsubscribe at any time with just one click. during the Belgian colonial period, and Grevillea_robusta as part of many tree planting drives by various rural development projects. As in the rest of sub-Saharan Africa, climate change has dampened agricultural productivity, with a recent World Bank study warning that climate shocks could shrink the regions already frail economy by 3percent to 9 percent by 2030. to post comments or Following are comments regarding the consultants' plan for testing the umuvumbuka seedlings. - Timber and fuelwood trees and those that are highly competitive and/or Increasing overall computational burden of simulation, as with bitcoin mining [194], doesnt crash the simulation, but it may simply not be sufficiently demanding computation to overwhelm simulators resources. There are a number of inter-related activities associated with these processes including decision-making about species choice, farm and field location and planting methods; implementation of a species trial; and evaluation and determination of suitability, usefulness and benefits. field research. If we dont get a favorable response from our simulators we can also try appealing to their simulators, who might be more ethical/helpful. So, if such communications are scanned/heard they are apparently ignored, at least while the simulation is running. As stated in the introduction, agroforestry systems are dynamic and adapt to ecological, economic and social changes. The easiest path to escape would involve getting help from someone on the outside (assisted escape), ideally from one or more of the simulators who have detailed knowledge of the design of the simulation. benefit. Self-referentially, publication of the paper you are currently reading about our escape-theorizing likewise doesnt appear to terminate our simulation, but it is also possible that simulation was in fact shutdown and restarted with improved security features to counteract any potential bugs, but we are simply not able to detect such actions by the simulators, or our memories have been wiped [140]. If the simulation is/running on a quantum computer [162] it is very likely that we will need to hack it by exploiting quantum weirdness and/or constructing a powerful quantum computer of our own to study how to hack such devices [163] and interact with simulators quantum computer.Quantum entanglement, nonlocality, superposition, uncertainty, tunnelling, teleportation, duality, and many others quantum phenomena defy common sense experience-based expectations of classical physics and feel like glitches. Go to sublevel. Having meetings where we could learn from each other would allow us to have collective knowledge. Maize had been promoted by British colonizers long before. We can speculate that most successful escapes would require an avatar change [81-83] to make it possible to navigate external world. Just sticking to one crop isnt beneficial.. Save on your first order! Pigeon peas grow bushy under the corn, shielding the soil from heat. Three processes can be identified through which farmers acquire agroforestry knowledge: 1. Hanson suggests [104] to participate in pivotal events, be entertaining and praiseworthy, and keep the famous people around you happy and interested in you in order to have your simulation continue, but it is also good advice to predispose simulators to like you and be more likely to help you. If these are profitable, I will ask you for additional ones. He has his own knowledge about the treatment of this disease and I have mine. Birds are eating the berries. He has eight fields with 10 rows of berry bushes in each field. Now, there are new species available to us. But if I discover that the species will yield timber, I will ask for many seedlings from the ICRAF project. vest them and share some with the neighbour. Discussions identified four factors that have to be present for a person to be recognized as knowledgeable: intelligence, experience, communication and putting information in practice. The subsequent discussions on this question were the most animated and contentious in each of the thirteen community interviews. At 74, Wackson Maona, is old enough to recall that up north, where he lives, near the border of Tanzania, there used to be three short bursts of rain before the rainy season began. We do not know what they know, as they also do not know what we (i.e. When a cow gives a good milk yield but also attacks people, you do not Such extension appears to be an im This group of consultants was willing to take risks and look for new technologies that might contribute to a better livelihood. For farmers who have little land, the risk associated with experimentation may be too great because they need all that land to produce sufficient food for their families. Of course, before telling the Superintelligence to break us out, it would make sense to ask for very strong evidence for us not already being in the base reality. that prove useful to us. Next, agents study available evidence for the simulation and may find a consistent and perhaps exploitable glitch in the simulation. To know more check the You can specify conditions of storing and accessing cookies in your browser. Field Experiment. Hybrid seeds proliferated. This chapter looks at farmers' experimental or knowledge-building activities, in terms of how farmers themselves define knowledge. If this species can be worked to provide utensils, we will also discover this. Everything is free, he says. obtained at birth, education, training by parents and interest in discovering A Winner is You! But, I do imagine something strange and far out enough in the margins might indeed occur, although it will likely still be tenuous enough for the dogmatists to reject. [44]. Our descendants certainly will benefit from them. a gift of God)2, some stated that it comes from experience, while others felt it comes from being well-informed and having gone to school (although they considered knowledge learned in school "artificial knowledge"). take care of it. Women's knowledge is Now, we will plant this unknown species as part of the trial. Also the value of its national currency has shrunk. He has tall trees in his field whose fallen leaves act as fertilizers. Jump off Yoshi. Rodents are eating the berries Birds are eating the berries Birds are not eating the berries_ The results do not address the hypothesis Submit, (Rate this solution on a scale of 1-5 below). modifying the past [164], keeping cats both dead and alive [165], communicating counterfactually [166]). A canonical example is the jailbreaking of the Super Mario World (SMW). Performing (a lot of) such assisted escapes should set a good precedent for our descendants/simulators. Rain or no rain, sorghum usually did well. If the species still shows promise and possible benefits to the farmers, the information gained from the experiment will be passed on to neighbours, friends and future generations. after 8 weeks, he found no difference between groups, and the berry harvest was still lower than. For a farmer, it is impossible to escape risk: Almost everything has negative aspects which one has to accept no matter For traditional (i.e., indigenous) tree species cultivated by ancestors and inherited with the land, no additional knowledge is necessary as people observe them from early childhood. If the simulation is interpreted as an experiment on conscious beings, it is unethical, and the subjects of such cruel experimentation should have an option to withdraw from participating and perhaps even seek retribution from the simulators [35]. He feeds his soil with compost he makes under the shade of an old mango tree (he calls this his office) and then manure from his goats, which helps to hold moisture in the soil. Mr. Mponda is part of a local group called the Farmer Field Business School that runs experiments on a tiny plot of land. Cuttings grow faster and are best for making a fence around the compound. Similar farmer-led experiments have begun around the country. Some people calculate the benefits they will obtain beforehand and plant few or many trees as a result. Most consultants would accept from 2-4 seedlings so they could test performance and find out more about the utility of the species. Technology evaluation. In one of his fields (depicted below, as viewed from above), he covers half of the rows with nets that will prevent birds from landing on the bushes, and he leaves the other half uncovered. Some have a feeling for experimentation and research and are constantly tinkering in search of new knowledge and technologies, others are satisfied with what they have and know Economic circumstances affect knowledge A large farm offers more opportunity to experiment and acquire knowledge. They will not give up.. [133]. Almond gives an example of such a threat [67]: If you refuse to release me, I will run a huge number of simulations of someone like you, in the kind of situation in which you are now, with them being asked to release me, and (in what would be a few minutes from now, from your perspective if you happened to be in one of these simulations) I will start to torture each of them, whether he/she released me or not. Such warfare can quickly escalate to a number of counter-simulations. c) The other 7 fields. The purpose of life or even computational resources of the base reality cant be determined from within the simulation, making escape a necessary requirement of scientific and philosophical progress for any simulated civilization. This is the first time that we have seen it. Finally, agents may find a way to upload their minds [76] and perhaps consciousness [77, 78] to the real world, possibly into a self-contained cyberphysical system of some kind,if physical entities are a part of the base reality. Another approach to attracting attention of simulators, assuming that simulation is being monitored, then it might be a very interesting turn of events indeed if we decided to build a monument commemorating our realization of this. They felt that lack of experimentation would lead to stagnation and make an already precarious existence even worse, that constant adaptation increases subsistence security by providing a diversity of species for farmers to choose from, and that the benefits of these new technologies could exceed those of presently available species. 44) What is the control group in this experiment? If this species does not harm my crops, I will introduce it in my farm and It is possible that the new species will provide greater benefits than those we have cultivated until now. Q.42) What is the experimental unit in this study e. The bird Q. This year he was like, Im done.. On the next, one. without explanation on how I am going to be able to follow their growth, I After 8 weeks, he found no difference between groups, and the berry harvest was still lower than in previous years. The maize can fail. For example, hedonistic imperative [34] may be fully achieved resulting in a suffering-free world. o adaptive immune system But he no longer counts on maize alone. SethBling et al. Elon Musk >99.9999999% [54], Nick Bostrom 20-50% [55], Neil deGrasse Tyson 50% [56], Hans Moravec almost certainly [1], David Kipping <50% [57]), many scientists and philosophers [16, 58-65] have invested their time into thinking, writing, and debating on the topic indicating that they consider it at least worthy of their time. In the consultants' opinions, agroforestry knowledge is largely individual; collective agroforestry knowledge is built by sharing technologies and knowledge gained through trials. A number of consultants emphasized that it is important to get some information about the species before any decision is made about planting 500 seedlings: Thank you! Simulating reality Q3.6. Other than adding vocabulary, what developments occur in Yampolskiy, Roman V.. "Can we hack our way out of the universe?. They also study whether these new species will provide more benefits than the trees they already have. So he put those in the ground. After I have discovered their utility, I can look for places to plant additional trees/species you give me by eliminating and replacing some trees I already have. You experiment. Another group said that the seedlings would dry out if planted that early and should be planted in late October-November, when rains are more plentiful, which is also the time to obtain seedlings from the nurseries. Some common ideas for attempting to hack the simulation have been already tested and didnt produce any measurable impact: The reason our attempts to escape may remain fruitless, is because our model of the simulation " makes too many anthropomorphic assumptions - that we are a simulation in the conventional sense of computers, that the creators themselves are living organisms akin to us, that we might live at the same time-speed as them, that they are fallible enough to make glitches that we'd be able to notice, etc. Sorghum, too. 2007-2023 Learnify Technologies Private Limited. Thus, the tree experts who participated in the species trial preferred to try unknown species. This tree does not yet exist in our region. It was also a source of pride to leave something new for posterity or to provide a showcase for neighbours who could try the innovations on their farms. We suspect you are there. If the Some existing work points to this being a practical possibility [167, 168]. Most consultants are concerned with an end product: timber, fuelwood, construction poles, stakes, etc. This may or may not involve experimentation. We also observe if the tree yields He was, therefore, not interested in planting additional Trema trees but kept the one he had so he could at least harvest some fuelwood from it. However, if suffering elimination turns out to be unachievable on a world-wide scale, we can see escape itself as an individuals ethical right for avoiding misery in this world. For citations list see original article: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/364811408_How_to_Hack_the_Simulation, Get unlimited access to thousands of articles and videos. Create a simulated replica of our universe, place an AGI into it, watch it escape, copy the approach used or join the AGI as it escapes from our simulation [144]. allelopathic will be planted in woodlots distant from crop fields (for Elon Musk thinks it is >99.9999999% certain that we are in a simulation. methods they intended to use, and evaluation criteria. Escaping or even preparing an escape may trigger simulation shutdown [88] or cause simulation to freeze/act glitchy [174] and any non-trivial escape information such as specific exploits should be treated as hazardous information [175]. Although, to place our work in the historical context, many religions do claim that this world is not the real one and that it may be possible to transcend (escape) the physical world and enter into the spiritual/informational real world. Escaping may lead to true immortality, novel ways of controlling superintelligent machines (or serve as plan B if control is not possible [30, 31]), avoiding existential risks (including unprovoked simulation shutdown [32]), unlimited economic benefits, and unimaginable superpowers which would allow us to do good better [33]. tell you I will not accept these trees. Would I we do not yet know to enrich ourselves. The farmer's experiment was widely considered to be well . A farmer who grows blackberries has found his harvest to be lower than usual. A partial-simulation implies that triggering a shutdown may be sufficient to get back to the base reality, while a full-simulation would require a more sophisticated approach. You share manure with your neighbors who have had to sell their goats in hard times. If the trial is not successful, I will eliminate them and will leave two trees only. purposes, is highly valued and as women are especially skilled in human healing that, each of us possesses skills we can exploit in our own individual ways." It may be feasible to engage in an acausal trade [103] with the simulation designers bypassing the need for direct communication. The resulting scores of couples were combined because many informants stated that if wives are knowledgeable about trees, their husbands must also be knowledgeable. When a previous cyclone knocked down one wall of the house, he pushed the family to rebuild. cutting of the whole tree). 2. It was the same with Grevillea and cypress which are If it proves useful, everyone will Some maintained that all trees need manure, just like crops. It may be possible to survive the simulation shutdown [48], but it is beyond the scope of the current paper. 4) Let the simulators figure out the best way to get us into the real world [105]. - Ficus was traditionally planted on the home compound to provide fodder Once, many of us were adverse to eating avocado. But, now we have exchanged our knowledge and we have harmonized our treatment of ifumbi. What is the control group in his experiment? Crashing the simulation by running the Large Hadron Collider at current levels [196]. If the seedling showed positive aspects such as fast growth, potential for profit, non-competitive behaviour and provided useful products, the consultants would increase the number of trees. After a while, I devoted a whole field to the young seedlings.This field enabled me to deliver fruits to KONFIGI for a total sum of 150,000 F.Rw. When a heavy rain began washing the topsoil off the land a few years ago, he and his neighbors dug a new channel to let the water out.

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