2016 superflex rookie mock draft
But then 2022 came and that Boutte seemed to disappear. Though his 60-percent catch rate was just middling, he is expected to be an early NFL pick and thus earn a steady role even if its just as a complement to an NFL teams WR1. Copyright 2023 Fantasy Football Calculator | Image Source: Icon Sportswire. Rationale: Its a really long shot that hell be relevant and you dont want a comp of Kevin White but this is the end of the draft, so why not? C.J. Analysis: Nothing to see here. If size werent a concern, he would be the top option at the position. Learn more. Superflex Rookie Mock Draft 6.0 - Round 3 3.01 Cedric Tillman, WR, 6'3 213 Tennessee While there are not many WRs with size in this class, Tennessee's Cedric Tillman is one of the class' best. Computer selections are filtered out, and only human selections are considered. Though Stroud lacks the exciting rushing upside of Richardson, hes not a statue either. Even though Pickens missed most of 2022 with a torn ACL, he is one of the few players who has the talent to be the top . Most teams picking 1.01 are probably not a Bijan away from contending; there is a reason they are picking 1.01. With 86th-percentile speed and a 95th-percentile College Target Share, he piled up over 3,000 total yards and 27 TDs the last two seasons. His best comp of Trace McSorley, though, tells all you need to know. Before the NFL Draft, getting the lay of the land is so important especially if you are maneuvering rookie draft picks and slotting in who you think could be there when you are on the clock. All three of these guys have consistently climbed draft boards since then. Johnston produced a mere sub-50-percent Contested Catch Rate. Kenneth Walker III, Skyy Moore, Desmond Ridder, Isiah Pacheco, and Calvin Austin III makes for a pretty spectacular rookie draft. Jaxon Smith-Njigba, WR, Ohio State7. Analysis: Luke Musgrave has all the measurables youd want for in a pass-catching NFL tight end prospect. For that reason, I have a hard time ranking Richardson ahead of Stroud or Young in this format. It doesnt matter. Phillips has received glowing reviews during training camp and has quickly moved to taking his reps with the first team offense. Josh Downs, WR, North Carolina2. Hell have to get rid of the ball quicker, having taken the 2nd-most sacks in the SEC. Rationale: Are you willing to wait for a QBs first extended NFL playing time to come in 2024 at age 27? In SuperFlex, though, unless Im loaded at QB and cant trade back, Id have to lean one of the top QBs here. However, Id have taken an upside RB. 201 Winners & Losers of the 2023 NFL Draft, Ep. If you buy into that logic, look to flip Bijan for 1.02-1.04 plus additional assets. section: | slug: 2016-fantasy-football-draft-prep-rookie-only-mock-draft | sport: football | route: article_single_fantasy | The odds are against hitting big on a Round 4 rookie pick are low. Rationale: His closest comp is Steve Johnson, who, as some of you might remember, had a few interesting years a decade ago. Marshall also is a sleeper since he landed with the Redskins. But Downs game isnt predicated on speed. He missed almost the entirety of the 2022 season but dominated college football in 2021 with a 95-1606-9 receiving line. Round 2. 6 overall, especially over Thomas, and Henry should not be drafted after Booker. Stroud, Ohio State Redshirt Sophomore 6'3, 214 Prospect Model Score: 8.30 (out of 10) If we're talking about relative safety, tier one of the QB ranks ends after Stroud. (And given that the draft order not set, the first round is based on Super Bowl odds from lowest to highest.) While little has been asked of him a pass catcher, his NFL bell cow size, speed and burst his 1.52 Ten-yard Split tied for No. Scroll to the bottom of the article for a spreadsheet with my Superflex, non-PPR, and tight end premium top 40s. 3.06- Evan Hull, RB, Northwestern Id look elsewhere. Speaking of high-end assets available at 1.02-1.04, the trio of quarterbacks is next up. Add a 66th-percentile College Target Share, and this is a guy that can carry the ball and catch passes. Tillman isn't being nearly talked about enough and would be an excellent snag in RD 2. pic.twitter.com/g3ctzeZOiz Zach Charbonnet, RB, UCLA11. 3.08- Jayden Reed, WR, Michigan State Rationale: In 2022, five NFL QBs ran for more than 500 yards. John Metchie Advanced Stats & Metrics Profile. Rationale: As such a good blocker, in the NFL, he might once again not be asked to do much of what fantasy owners care about. Already 25 years old, Hooker is older than Trevor Lawrence, Jalen Hurts, and Justin Herbert. Sean Tucker, RB, Syracuse4. If hes more like his 2021 season, thatll be quite a bit. Additionally, any receiver with a top PlayerProfiler comparable player of Stefon Diggs gets our attention! I took Higgins with the hope he emerges as a viable Fantasy option by 2017. Let's get right into it with this early 1st round mock draft, 2023 Dynasty Rookie Superflex Mock Draft. He has also put some good things on tape at training camp so far, and I feel the best about his prospects here. Rationale: A spitting image of his PlayerProfiler best comp, Santana Moss, Palmer is a decent flyer here late in the third. The glaring downside for McBride is he was a total zero in the passing game. In the third round, what more do you want than an 80th-percentile across the board athlete who, while not big, is big enough to get on the field, carried a heavy college workload, and boasts a 97th-percentile College Target Share? Are you looking to contact Customer Support about a subscription or account related question? Its tough to project a significant NFL and fantasy role for a guy that puts up those numbers at Maryland. Not affiliated with the National Football League (NFL). The RB position is a contenders luxury due to its short shelf life and high injury volatility. Its time for considering floor versus upside. If he gets past the injuries, hell pay off well in the fourth round. Sure, Georgia had plenty of other options, but he should at least have been unstoppable in the red zone. Rationale: This late in the game, in SuperFlex, why not take a QB? I will give my analysis for each round and hopefully you can start to see where fantasy players are valuing these rookies. Hes not a pass catcher, though, so hell need carries to be fantasy-relevant. Move along. Analysis: In Tennessee, the Volunteers lined up stud receivers like Cedric Tillman and Jalin Hyatt out on the numbers and ran all kinds of gap, inside, and outside zone schemes. Its an open question, though, if hes a great football player or just a great athlete. Rationale: Kincaid fits the new undersized pass-catching TE archetype with a best comparable player of Isaiah Likely. With average size and athleticism but a strong Burst and Catch Radius, he is a good pick in the third round. There are some caveats, of course, or he wouldnt be here in Round 3. What may have been surprising was the order the quarterbacks went with Adam Aizer selecting Bryce Young at No.1, Jamey Eisenberg taking Anthony Richardson at No. He runs physically while demonstrating elusiveness using his vision and lateral agility, regularly making defenders miss in open space. Richardson has the upside to be the No. Do Not Sell My Personal Information. More info Note: This data is archived from 2016. 3.04- Israel Abanikanda, RB, Pittsburgh With, At 1.05, the top WR in the class comes off the board in Ohio States Jaxon Smith-Njigba. The RBs in this range is a complete guessing game. Not boasting extraordinary Agility metrics, he might be a best fit for an outside zone scheme where he can build up speed, turn and strike. Hes got a chance to get on a field and is a decent choice among the late-round QBs. However, getting White at 3.03 feels like pure robbery. Remember, folks, this is fantasy football, not the NFL. 4.11- Sam LaPorta, TE, Iowa Analysis: Kenny McIntosh here is a reach. Theyre basically doppelgangers two tight ends in the top 25-percent across all athletic measurables with the one exception that Laporta, while smaller, produced; Musgrave didnt. 1.02- Anthony Richardson, QB, Florida Will Levis, QB, Kentucky10. He was a big-play WR in college despite modest speed and well below-average athletic metrics and Catch Radius. Rationale: This late in the game, you can take a flyer at QB. Hopefully, this will help you get an idea of where you can grab these players in your own upcoming rookie drafts. Rationale: In single QB, this is a fine pick. 1.10- Quentin Johnston, WR, TCU A slightly bigger and faster Zach Evans, he exploded on the college scene in 2022 with 1,431 rushing yards and 21 touchdowns. After a 2021 uptick, he lost the 2022 primary receiver role to Keon Coleman. Analysis: Kuntz is certainly big enough and boasts one of the greatest athletic profiles youll ever see at TE. Mayer, PlayerProfilers No. Round 4 was highlighted by three training camp risers in Isiah Pacheco, Romeo Doubs, and WanDale Robinson. Bennetts college numbers were as good as Brock Purdys and you have to think some coaches would love to be talked about like Shanahan. When looking at everyones final teams from this superflex draft, there are certainly a few that really stand out to me. Hes big enough for the NFL at 5-11, 215 pounds and boasted a stunning 7.4 (95th-percentile) College YPC. His film isnt impressive either, and there is a ton of development that still needs to happen for Richardson to be a successful NFL QB. And dont worry about the TCU WR history books odds are Johnston is no Josh Doctson or Jalen Reagor. The. On April 12, PlayerProfilers Mock Draft Live team conducted a five round 2023 Dynasty Rookie Mock Draft SuperFlex/Tight End Premium on Sleeper. 469 SF TEP Rookie Mock Draft | Post 2023 NFL Draft, #NerdHerd Ep. Analysis: A big, great athlete who never really popped but got a little better every year. Rationale: TEs can be late bloomers, so this late hes worth a flyer to see if his athleticism plays out. Like Iosivas. Analysis: Tillman, one of this years bigger wideouts at 6-3, 213 pounds, is an interesting study. Rationale: With 80th-or-better athletic measurables, an 96th-percentile Catch Radius and near 80-percent Catch Rate, hes a decent gamble late in the 4th. His 2022 performance looked like someone who never owned those skills hed flashed. Is it a perfect science? Any quarterback selected in the first round of the NFL Draft will get an opportunity and hold Dynasty value for much longer than players at other positions. 2.05- Tank Bigsby, RB, Auburn If his ankle is okay and off-field concerns arent concerns, he offers big upside here. Once we had those, each of the owners took turns drafting for two separate teams in the draft. Rationale: His closest comparable player Allen Lazard is what we should expect from Mingo. In this action-packed episode of the Dynasty Nerds Podcast, the trio Rich Dotson (@DynastyRich), Matt OHara (@DynastyMatt), and Jared Wackerly (@JaredWackerly) dive deep into the world of dynasty fantasy football to give you a winning edge in your 2023 rookie drafts. Kamara would see 100 targets as a rookie, was an immediate RB1, and never looked back. Rationale: Flowers stock is rising but the No. https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC191P5Dpx4FxYhCSEv1KE6g/joinBecome a DLF PREMIUM member and gain access to the best dynasty content in the industry, including articles, ADP, rankings, tools, and more! In one-quarterback leagues I have often said that I do not really care about a quarterback's floor. 4.06- Jonathan Mingo, WR, Ole Miss Sure, Young is tiny. Rationale: If you draft Johnston, hope for the ceiling but be prepared to see the floor, too. Mayer wins with a 73rd-percentile Speed Score and is a solid mid-second round pick. The concerns are that he was oft-injured and just a guy when he was on the field. Fantasy gamers certainly dont want the next C.J. Much of this is dependent on the assumption that these four QBs are selected in the top-5 of the NFL Draft. Hendon Hooker, QB, Tennessee12. Rationale: With little productivity to go on and recurring foot injuries, hes all projection. Players fall through the cracks all the time (hello Chig Okonkwo!) A great choice at 1.06, I couldnt hit the Draft button for Stroud fast enough. Top 50 Dynasty Super Flex Rankings 1. Analysis: Where did this guy come from? But in standard scoring, I can make the case for Pickett as the fifth pick in a 2022 superflex dynasty football rookie mock draft. 3.05- DeWayne McBride, RB, UAB 2:35 pm ET. For you SuperFlex players, rather than perform an entirely separate . Join millions of players today onSLEEPER, the #1 fantasy football platform. Now that the 2016 NFL draft is behind us, those of us in dynasty formats can look forward to our annual rookie drafts. Superflex Mocks Ben Cummins on 3/31/23 Dave Kluge and others on 3/9/23 Alfredo Brown on 3/8/23 Kyle Yates on 2/21/23 Fresh off the 2023 NFL Combine, rookie values are all over the board, and dynasty managers are getting ready for their own rookie draft. I would have likely taken Dameon Pierce over him if both were on the board. But he never posted more than 12.1 YPR or more than six scores despite seeing 121 targets a year for his career. He hasnt made it through a full season since 2019. Here's a two-round rookie mock for dynasty superflex leagues that incorporates results from Night 1 of the 2023 NFL Draft. Hes also s not particularly athletic but was a dominant college producer, a solid route runner with strong hands, and broke out as an 18-year old. Keaontay Ingram Advanced Stats & Metrics Profile. Rice produced 33.2-percent (96th-percentile) College Target Share. He posted 85h-percentile and above metrics across the board. However, it sounds like he may have an uphill battle to make the team, so this pick looks like a possible waste of a pick. The one coming off the board just ahead of the other at 1.08 is USCs, Jordan Addison. At this point, it seems certain that Levis is a first-rounder in the NFL Draft, possibly even a top-10 pick. View current ADP data. And he didnt stop there. Rationale: Hes a good, big target that catches near 70-percent of his targets. At Louisville in 2022, Jawhar Jordan and Malik Cunningham took almost all the rushing attempts, leaving just 83 for Evans. Nice pick! Desmond Ridder going off the board as QB2 in this draft was not much of a surprise, and then Dameon Pierce and Zamir White went back to back. Rationale: While not all NFL top tight ends were top college producers see George Kittle, for example, its all projection here. Yes, he played almost exclusively in the slot at Ohio State. His NFL-ready arm and prototypical size make him the safest bet of the QB crop. The ability to stream, especially in Dynasty, virtually disappears. window.PLAYERCARDS_CONFIG={affiliateCode:"fpros_cards"}; Copyright 2010- FantasyPros.com Analysis: Evans is the projection personified. 4. All else equal, Ill favor running backs in round 4 and 5. Hell be a set-and-forget fantasy QB starter for years. 3.10- Dewayne Washington, TE, Georgia Bigsby is big enough and contributes in all phases of the game. The average value of their draft position is taken over a range of many drafts. Email marketing by StrikeStack. He caught 71.7-percent of his passes, both split wide and in the slot, and scored in every game until a Week 6 ankle injury ended his season. Abanikandas got upside that Evans doesnt offer. The New York Giants and Chicago Bears both feel like teams that may be destined to trade for or pick up a discarded running back to fill into that slot behind Saquon Barkley and David Montgomery. After a redshirt 2017 and three nondescript seasons at Buffalo and Iowa, Jones hit the road again, landing in his final season at Purdue. That could change things for several guys moving up or down a few spots, but like any mock draft it will never mirror what actually happens in your league. What has dynasty managers drooling over Richardson, though, is the generational traits, not to mention the rushing he provides is fantasy football gold. At pick 1.07, Kentucky QB Will Levis is the selection. Sure, hes tiny, but Tank never missed a game. It's just too hard for me to see any other QB in this class matching his upside. Four QBs in the first five picks is aggressive, to say the least. Only one more will be selected before the fifth round. Most rookie-only drafts will look the same at the top with Elliott the clear-cut No. The most interesting, by far, is Richardson. 1.07- Jahmyr Gibbs, RB, Alabama 3 running back to start the season. Our experts break down the best strategies for approaching this years class, considering the hit rates of various positions and how to maximize value with your draft picks. I was hoping Pickens would make it back to me and he did. The Draft Sharks staff has been studying this rookie class all offseason and is ready to put together some pre-draft superflex dynasty rookie rankings. Which players have the most value, not just for 2016, but for the forseeable . Analysis: Interesting! Rationale: With a good shot at sizable workload and red zone work, hes a solid pick in the second round. Dynasty Rookie Average Draft Position (2016), 12 teams All Players Year Data from 2551 fantasy football mock drafts between May 25, 2016 and September 2, 2016. Analysis: Gray, smaller and slower than youd prefer, did handle a heavy workload and post a dominant rushing season in Norman as a 23-year old. He forced a total of 112 missed tackles this past season at Texas, creating 1,006 yards after contact. 3rd of 103 sites Preseason IDP Rankings. Sign up using promo codeNERDSand deposit $10 with Underdog Fantasy and receive a FREE DynastyGM + NerdHerd annual bundle membership (new users only) Click Here to sign up. Rationale: Productivity and a huge volume means Rice will get on the field. Gibbs has shown tremendous ability as a pass-catcher which should get fantasy managers excited to add him to their rosters. Analysis: This mocks Mr. He sees the field like a pro, regularly throwing his receivers open. This analysis takes a round-by-round look at the draft. to this spot but generally speaking, players get punted to this wasteland because the NFL dictates it. Lets dive into a bit of strategy on this pick. Stroud is actually my QB1 in this class, at least before landing spot, but it's not hard to make an argument for any of these three. He did so through massive volume and a nearly 80-percent Catch Rate. With the first overall pick, it has to be Texas RB Bijan Robinson. 1.04 - Jahmyr Gibbs, Running Back, Alabama (@CrowfootSports) 1.05 - Jordan Addison, Wide Receiver, USC (@RyanMiner_FFB) 1.07 - Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Wide Receiver, Ohio State (@TheRealNFLGuru) 1.08 - Anthony Richardson, Quarterback . And he did finish his college career strong, though averaging 23 carries for 142 yards with a total 8 scores over his last 6 games. MJD was 210. The NFL thinks this is the worst QB class in recent memory. Thatll be the guy you drop the first week of waivers. Drake was a reach at No. Unfortunately, other than a volume-driven 2021 increase, he was steady if not spectacular in his three seasons as a Spartans. In 2021 he put up a 1,081-yard, 12-score season including a 10-catch, 200-yard beatdown of eventual National Champion Georgia. 2.12- Hendon Hooker, QB, Tennessee, 3.01- Cedric Tillman, WR, Tennessee The draft capital associated with these players is going to determine much of the order but, This is where RBs go to die. He is highly accurate and has the arm strength to make every NFL throw. Your email address will not be published. The news cycle recently has soured on this notion. Additionally, he produced a massive 34.1-percent (94th-percentile) College Dominator Rating and a 15.8 (86th-percentile) College YPR. 1 QB in Fantasy in a given year. But, hey, taking a guy that you might be able to start in the late second is fine. Others showed physical traits. The other WR considered at 1.08 now comes off the board at 1.09, TCUs Quentin Johnston. We did see our first quarterback go as Kenny Pickett was drafted at 2.06. Prosise, RB, SEA. Analysis: Here we go! 04/30/2023. Lets dive into a bit of strategy on this pick. This is our first look at a superflex rookie mock draft for August 2022. at There were several more timer expired picks later in the round that helped the likes of Malik Willis and Pierre Strong Jr. fall further than Ive seen in most superflex drafts. So, we take the names we know and the guys we can picture getting a chance even if its a longshot. It was surprising that he didnt convert his 100th-percentile speed at 6-4 and 221 pounds into more than 10.9 yards a catch. Devon Achane, RB Texas A&M8. You probably won't want to draft from this. ADP: Average Draft Position (ADP) is a list of NFL players ordered by their average position taken in fantasy football drafts. fantasy managers might strike gold here, too. You can find him later on the waiver wire. 1.01 - Bijan Robinson (RB - Texas) It's usually unheard of to have a non-quarterback in the 1.01 spot of a Superflex draft, but a weaker quarterback class combined with a superb talent at running back generates this result. So why does Johnston slip to the second in some drafts? If youre picking 1.01, you need to maximize the value of that asset, whether it is just taking Bijan or trading the pick. Sure. John Metchie being drafted in this range obviously hurts with his medical diagnosis. In this article you'll find our NFL team's updated 2023 fantasy . With a 4.38 40 yard dash and 91st-percentile Burst Score, lid-lifter Mims put up a 20.1 (94th-percentile) College YPR. He will be a nice NFL player, but for fantasy hes more likely a fringe WR3/WR4 on your roster that youre not excited to start. Ill prefer more productivity. 7 overall pick. 23-ranked RB. Browns a good fourth round pick. Stroud 1.06 Analysis: A really interesting upside pick from the Ole Miss wide receiver factory. I agree to receive the "Fantasy Football Today Newsletter" and marketing communications, updates, special offers (including partner offers), and other information from CBS Sports and the Paramount family of companies. Sign me up! They will go early in SF drafts. So his NFL team will have to work to get him into space both to leverage his greatest skill and for him to survive. Two running back lottery tickets were also selected in this final round in Trestan Ebner and Jashaun Corbin. If that is the case, this is where he should come off the board. Like Brown, hell get a chance from someone. Close your eyes and throw a dart but make sure you are aiming in the right direction. 2QB/Superflex Rookie Mock Draft 1.01 Bijan Robinson (RB) Height: 5'11" Weight: 215 With the first overall pick, it has to be Texas RB Bijan Robinson. Charbonnet is a fine pick late in the first. Worst Pick: Zach Evans 2.04. Thor Nystrom's . Hes also coming off a late-2022 ACL tear, so fantasy gamers shouldnt expect much playing time this year. Until then though, I believe both of these guys are worth monitoring in the final round of rookie drafts. With a decent Speed Score, top-tier Burst and Catch Radius plus an early breakout age, hed seem to be the prototypical NFL X. But he managed a 92nd-percentile College Target Share and was a red-zone monster despite being just 5-8 and 165 pounds. What has dynasty managers drooling over Richardson, though, is the generational traits, not to mention the rushing he provides is fantasy football gold.
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